Week Ahead in Geopolitics: US-China Trade Probes & the Middle East's "Dangerous Web"

3 days ago
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Updated: 20 hours ago

Geopolitical Forecast March 30 - April 5, 2026 by Abishur Prakash (Geopolitical Expert)

Geopolitical expert Abishur Prakash ("Mr. Geopolitics") presents his latest "Week Ahead in Geopolitics," touching on the US-China trade probes, Asia's energy crisis because of the Iran war, and the upcoming G7/G20 meetings.

Summary:

China’s "Probe Battles": Beijing has unveiled two new probes into US green trade and "industrial chains" in response to President Trump's investigations into overcapacity. By the end of the week, China may expand these probes into the technology sector, further destabilizing US-China relations.
Energy Realignment in Asia: Japan is facing intense pressure from Vietnam and the Philippines to release its oil reserves. Tokyo may offer energy relief in exchange for these nations realigning geopolitically, such as awarding critical contracts to Japanese firms over Chinese ones.
The G7 Ricochet: France has retracted South Africa’s invitation to the upcoming G7 meeting in June, following a similar move by the US regarding the G20. In response, South Africa may lobby the African Union or seek a new strategic relationship with Algeria to block European influence in Africa.
Wild Card: The "Dangerous Web": Following a joint US-Israeli strike that nearly hit the Pakistani embassy in Tehran, a group linked to the Pakistani government has issued a veiled threat to strike enemies anywhere. This signal suggests a significant expansion of the Middle Eastern war's geographic scope.

Expert Perspective: Analysis by Abishur Prakash, one of the world's leading geopolitical experts and strategists. This insight, "Week Ahead in Geopolitics," shows executives and policymakers how the biggest risks could play out.